US vs China war | who would win



Burning bases. Sinking ships. Mangled warplanes that never got into the air.

That’s the result of a string of simulated conflict scenarios.

“In our games, when we fight Russia and China,” says RAND analyst David Ochmanek, “blue gets its ass handed to it.”

“Things that rely on sophisticated base infrastructure like runways and fuel tanks are going to have a hard time. Things that sail on the surface of the sea are going to have a hard time,” Ochmanek told A New American Way of War conference earlier this year.

And that’s because the US has long since lost its monopoly on long-range precision weapons.

“The uncomfortable truth is that the US Joint Force is currently ill-prepared for the kind of high-intensity deterrence and warfighting tasks that would characterise a confrontation with China,” the University of Sydney report concludes.

But Dr Farley says the state of affairs remains too close to call a clear victor.

“We don’t know how well Chinese anti-ship ballistic missiles will function, or how destructive US cyber-attacks against the PLAN will prove, or how dangerous the F-22 Raptor will be to conventional Chinese fighters, or how effectively the different elements of the PLAN will co-operate in actual combat,” he said.

“Finally, we don’t know when the war will start; both the PLA and the US military will look much different in 2020 than they do in 2024.”